Author Archives: wcw

King to hold special meeting with fellow Rulers at Istana Negara on Nov 24

It is understood that His Majesty will be seeking the opinions of the Rulers on the impasse in the formation of a federal government.

The meeting will begin at 10.30am and it is expected to last at least three hours.

Palace sources said the special meeting would be crucial.

The Yang Dipertuan Agong has been trying to put up a unity government comprising Pakatan Harapan and Perikatan Nasional but has failed so far.

The Rulers are expected to be briefed on the legal procedures as a hung Parliament has taken place.

The Conference of Rulers is also scheduled to be held on Monday (Nov 28).

BN looks set to stay out of any coalition govt


KUALA LUMPUR: Barisan Nasional leaders have indicated that the coalition was ready to remain in the opposition and would not be part of either a Pakatan Harapan- or Perikatan Nasional-led government.

The tone has already been set that Barisan, which has unexpectedly become a kingmaker, decided not to support either coalition.

Barisan leaders, who continued their discussions until late Monday (Nov 21) night, have continued their meetings Tuesday (Nov 22) morning.

It is understood that the stand being conveyed is that Barisan would rather be outside any government.

On Monday, Umno deputy president Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan set the tone by saying Perikatan and Pakatan should consider setting up a government instead, saying that Barisan was prepared to be the opposition.

He said Barisan would be ready to provide checks and balances and be a responsible opposition.

Umno supreme council member Datuk Armand Azha Abu Hanifah has also reportedly said he was convinced that Barisan would be better off that way.

He said the coalition had to accept the people’s decision of not wanting it to be in the government.

It is understood that component party leaders found that the grassroots were against joining a Pakatan government after the incessant criticism against Barisan.

“During the campaign, Pakatan said a vote for Barisan is a vote for Datuk Seri Dr Ahmad Zahid Hamidi but now it looks like a vote for Pakatan is a vote for Zahid,” a Barisan leader said.

Ahmad Zahid, the Umno president and Barisan chairman, has come under intense pressure to quit and take responsibility for the heavy defeat in the 15th General Election.

He has also been called out by other Umno leaders for his readiness to strike a deal with Pakatan.

Umno leaders also said it was difficult for them to convince their members that Barisan would work with DAP.

Non-Malay Barisan leaders said they would be “drowned” by the 40 DAP MPs in Pakatan while backing Perikatan meant working with PAS leaders who had taken a strong religious stance and were pushing the Islamist party’s hard-line agenda.

Barisan leaders also said they were prepared to work out a confidence and supply agreement (CSA) with any minority government to ensure the country remains stable.

Confidence and supply agreement (CSA) is a political arrangement in a hung parliament in which an opposition party agrees not to vote against a minority government to pass votes of confidence or budgetary matters.

Green tsunami that rocked GE15

ANYONE who went on the campaign trail would have noticed that the posters of Umno president Datuk Seri Ahmad Zahid Hamidi were almost non-existent in places where Barisan Nasional was contesting.

The instructions given out by most Barisan candidates was that Ahmad Zahid had become a liability.

Both Perikatan Nasional and Pakatan Harapan had hammered home the point that Barisan was associated with corruption.

Any picture of Ahmad Zahid, who is still facing a slew of corruption charges, unfortunately was a stark reminder.

He himself only managed to keep his Bagan Datuk seat with a few hundred votes.

The writing on the wall is clear and any responsible leader should know what to do.

Almost every speaker at Perikatan and Pakatan ceramah harped on this issue linking Ahmad Zahid and corruption. The only difference was that in the mega gatherings of Pakatan, confined mostly in urban areas, the voters believed Pakatan would win enough to form the Federal Government.

The analysts said Pakatan would win big but not enough to hit the simple majority of 112.

But many Pakatan diehard supporters chose to believe in Kita Boleh.

Over at Perikatan, the coalition parties quietly worked the Malay heartland with the same message. There was no need for mega gatherings like Pakatan.

The surveys and pollsters did not seem to correctly register the Malay voices, with all saying Pakatan was leading – which was accurate – except that they didn’t take Perikatan seriously until the last 48 hours.

But for many Malay Undi18 voters who also detested corruption – their preference was Perikatan, especially PAS.

The fact that PKR president Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim and Muda chief Syed Saddiq Syed Abdul Rahman were given a fierce fight by their opponents, even trailing at some point, is evidence that many Malays did not share the ideals of Pakatan.

Possibly they include the many Malay youths who embraced the Islamic values espoused by PAS and the many preachers who are hugely followed on social media.

These influential Islamic personalities have millions of followers each and even PAS theologians enjoy this celebrity status.

Most non-Malays living in the cities have little knowledge of this Islamic phenomenon.

In Permatang Pauh, the PAS candidate who beat Pakatan’s Nurul Izzah is Ustaz Muhammad Fawwaz Mohd Jin, 39, with a degree from Al Azhar University in Egypt.

The father of 11 children listed himself as a preacher and a CEO of an Islamic foundation.

The reality is that DAP or its supporters will not be able to change the course of history alone as the Chinese population is just about 25%.

With the gerrymandering exercise and malapportionment, the Chinese votes only have about 20% more value than the votes of the rural areas.

In short, the huge Chinese turnout will just increase the votes of the Pakatan candidates in the urban seats but will not increase the number of representatives.

As an example, Pakatan-DAP’s Gobind Singh Deo won with a whopping majority of 124,619 votes. He polled 143,619 votes against Perikatan (18,256) and Barisan (13,806).

Gobind actually cast his vote in Penang, where his address is located.

The biggest winner is PAS – which had 18 Members of Parliament before dissolution but has reached 49 this GE15.

It controls Kelantan, Kedah, Terengganu and now Perlis with a large share in Pahang.

The Islamist party will now demand a larger share of Cabinet representation with an eye for the powerful positions. After all, it has more seats than Bersatu.

The policies and directions of the federal government are set to change.

If Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin becomes Prime Minister, then he has to bring Malaysia together and reassure everyone that Malaysia is multiracial and multireligious.

The Perikatan manifesto has clearly stated that it is committed to the Malay agenda and Islam, and his recent remarks on Jewish Christian prayers have remained fresh in the minds of many non-Muslims. He has said he was quoted out of context. And Perikatan also made it clear that it respected and recognised the position of Malaysians of other faiths.

Politicians on both sides of the divide have said things that they shouldn’t have said and then denied them, just to win votes.

The elections are over, and the winners have been declared. Malaysia cannot remain divided.

PAS surely understands that it needs a sensible and acceptable narrative and optics.

Its leaders cannot continue to issue statements that spook the country. The fact is that the same yardstick that may be “standard” in Afghanistan or elsewhere in West Asia cannot be applicable in Malaysia.

But then, we hope the parties from Sabah and Sarawak would be able to provide the checks and balances to ensure that moderation is practised.

For the first time in Malaysia, we have a hung parliament.

It means no one party can form a government on its own. Not Bersatu, PAS or GPS – every ethnic group needs the backing of another.

Pakatan may or may not be in government, but we should not forget it has the largest number of seats.

In the end, the red Pakatan wave was strong but it wasn’t enough. It was the PAS green tsunami that made the difference.

GE15 – The Day After

 

Malaysia the winner


Image: Vecteezy

Now that the people have cast their votes, we must make sure our victorious politicians walk the talk.

Start with what is right rather than what is acceptable. — Franz Kafka

IT has been a gruelling campaign and the most hard-fought election ever in Malaysia’s history, which conclusively proves that democracy is vibrant and thriving here.

Never has there been so many candidates vying for the 222 seats in Parliament.

The many multi-cornered fights reveal that politics is no longer the monopoly of big parties, and that every Malaysian can have their chance to prove their worth in the elections.

The days of the government securing a two-thirds majority are also over, not just in Malaysia but in other democracies as well, because citizens don’t want their governments to have overwhelming authority.

While emotions have poured out in torrents during the two weeks of campaigning, it’s now time for Malaysians to move forward as the nation has made its choice.

Politics has always divided people. In most instances, the divisions affect ordinary supporters the most as they are rarely privileged to see how quickly top leaders are ready to strike deals.

To many politicians, principles are mere flexible commodities, despite their lofty preaching at rallies.

After all, isn’t that what Italian philosopher Niccolo Machiavelli said in his book, The Prince – that the end justifies the means, where a good outcome excuses any wrongs committed to attain it?

Politics is about power, although we have repeatedly heard our politicians say that they are fighting for our interests and that of the country’s.

Almost all our political parties and politicians have, at one point or another, cooperated with each other, but most supporters either don’t see it or don’t recall their previous pacts.

They have all hugged and kissed each other much more than their supporters, who still foolishly harbour misgivings about each other for their political choices, which is unfortunate.

Many candidates, despite their poor record, have become angels overnight simply because they’ve swapped party uniforms.

Many of us lose our objectivity when it comes to politics. There’s just either too much black or too much white. The truth is, there are good personalities in every party.

We hope Malaysia will be able to focus on action, policies and principles as we move forward.

The country must transcend fanatical personality worship and incessant uncouth name-calling and bashing, which is sadly rampant on social media.

But that’s democracy. It’s not the most perfect system since it can sometimes be chaotic, but it’s still one where the people are given the opportunity to make a choice.

A democracy is about voting in the party or candidate you pick. That’s why we have elections, and everyone is entitled to make known their preferences.

Malaysia is still a transitional democracy. We haven’t reached the mature stage where politicians and supporters are able to debate policies intelligently, since many still prefer political entertainment at rallies.

But we will eventually come to it because debates and discussions among candidates have become more acceptable.

More importantly, Malaysians are tolerant people and receptive to the results of elections.

GE14 in 2018 is an ideal example. The ruling Barisan Nasional accepted its defeat and the end of its 60-year reign.

The leaders, including Datuk Seri Najib Razak, accepted the defeat gracefully, knowing that the newly installed Pakatan Harapan would punish him for the 1MDB scandal, leading to his eventual charging.

There were no riots even as many Malaysians celebrated Pakatan’s victory in the streets.

Over the past few days, some Singaporean friends messaged me asking if it was safe to visit Malaysia after GE15 since many media reports were highlighting a close fight.

I dismissed their fears because I’ve always believed in the Malay-sian spirit. This is a largely middle-class country where people have jobs to return to, so no one has the time to stage drawn-out street protests.

We trust our electoral system. While doubts abound about the impartiality of the Election Commission, the results have always been accepted by both sides.

After all, the Opposition has won and retained states like Penang, Selangor and Kelantan repeatedly. Big names from the ruling parties have even been defeated by unknowns.

Whatever the outcome of GE15, whether it’s convincing or inconclusive, the winner is the rakyat.

We have all participated and voted according to our choices, and we have proven to the world that democracy is alive and well in Malaysia. And more importantly, that we respect each other’s choices.

And thank God, finally, our WhatsApp chat groups will no longer be hijacked by overzealous campaigners who forget that if it’s a chat group to talk about food or reminisce about good old times in school, it should remain that way.

On the bright side, it’s good that Malaysians are passionate and care for the future of our nation.

We could have chosen to be indifferent and not care to vote. But Malaysia has decided.

We have done our part. Now, let’s leave it to the politicians to sort it out. But we need to continuously check on them, even after the elections, and remind them that we are the boss.

They aren’t our bosses and it’s we who put them there. So stop showing off with your police outriders and the convoy of cars of supporters.

The real winners of GE15 are us – the voters.

What if It’s Hung?

 

Race for undecided voters

AS campaigning for GE15 enters the last lap, the focus will be on the estimated 4.5 million voters said to be still undecided over their choice of which party should lead the next government.

This is certainly a huge bloc as according to a survey by Ilham Centre, they comprise one-fifth of the entire electorate.

While the report is dated Oct 19 and the number of undecided voters may have since declined, it still provides an indication of voters’ behaviour.

In an interview with over 1,622 respondents, 21% were unsure of which coalition they would prefer with 15% undecided on which party to vote for.

And 28% said they had decided which party to support “but are still open to changing their decision”, while an overwhelming 57% had made up their mind.

It also said there were 36% of more than 7.6 million voters who had no allegiance or obsession to any political party.

This would be your friends or associates who have not bombarded your chat groups with messages or videos from the party they were backing.

Or forward fake messages with warnings of purported cheating, claiming voters had been given allocated time to vote when it merely provided an advisory of “masa digalak mengundi.”

You will be surprised at the number of people who actually believed it and angrily shared this message.

While the impartiality of the Election Commission has been questioned in every general election, the fact is that DAP and PAS have retained their states convincingly for decades and toppled a 60-year-old government in GE14.

The focus of the candidates should be to work on these undecided voters as they have the potential to influence the outcome of GE15.

This pattern is possibly prevalent in constituencies such as Sungai Buloh, a PKR stronghold, but because the charismatic and competent Khairy Jamaluddin is a making a bid, it has made some hardcore Pakatan Harapan supporters re-think.

As an anecdote, I can share my experience as someone who lives in the Sungai Buloh constituency.

I have a neighbour, a Malay professional, who has kept flipping his pick every few days and I do not know if he and his family would vote or finally make a firm decision.

A firm Pakatan supporter, it looks like KJ’s foray has placed him in a dilemma.

According to Merdeka Centre, the highest age group of undecided voters were in the 31-40 bracket, at 34%, while those below 19 and between 41 and 50, were at 19% respectively.

The undecided voters were highest in the urban areas with 62%, and rural at 38%. The Malays were the highest in the undecided category at 50% and Chinese at 36%.

The average undecided voter, overall, works in the private sector (44%); with a household income of between RM2,000 and RM3,900 (29%), and those with a secondary education at 40%.

Interestingly, the young voters, according to Merdeka Centre, also showed that those aged 18-20 were more inclined towards issues, candidates and leadership than party allegiance.

Those in the 21-40 group also reflected a similar pattern, with 31% looking at the choice of contenders rather than party.

This is unlike those aged 40 and above, which put candidates at 34% and party at 25%, and issues at only 12%.

Finally, the most crucial factor is voter turnout. According to Merdeka Centre, as of Oct 28, a positive turnout looks possible but among those aged below 30, the figure is only 68%, a decline from 76% as of July 30.

Among the older voters, aged 50 and above, there was a 80% likelihood to vote, with those aged 31-50 at 74%.

Among young voters aged under 30, the Chinese were the lowest with only 38% wanting to vote in comparison to Malays at 75% and Indians at 72%.

These findings are merely a guide and as with past experiences, there will always be errors. But as an indication, the candidates and campaigners have less than a week to convince these undecided voters.

Parti or Calon?

 

Unity government in store?

It is likely that none of the major groups will get a majority, so they will need to form pacts.

WITH barely a week to go before Malaysians hit the polls, the preliminary assessment is that the results will likely not be conclusive.

It means the three main coalitions, Barisan Nasional, Pakatan Harapan and Perikatan Nasional, may not have enough seats individually to form the next federal government.

A minimum of 112 would be a simple majority in the 222 seat Dewan Rakyat, but one or two coalitions will still need support from Sabah and Sarawak.

The Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) comprising Parti Pesaka Bumiputera Bersatu (PBB), Sarawak United People’s Party (SUPP), Parti Rakyat Sarawak and Progressive Democratic Party, is poised to be kingmaker.

It vies winning at least 26 of the 31 parliamentary seats at stake. In the 2018 elections, it won 19 of the 31, but the optimism this time is fuelled by the results of last year’s state elections, in which the coalition won 75 of the 82 state seats.

In Sabah, while Barisan and Perikatan are slugging it out at the federal level, leaders of the two coalitions are still working together at the state government level.

Sabah has 25 parliamentary seats with Gabungan Rakyat Sabah (GRS) contesting in 13 seats. The GRS comprises Bersatu, Parti Bersatu Sabah, Sabah STAR, Sabah Progressive Party and Usno.

The Sabah Barisan is made up of Umno, Parti Bersatu Rakyat Sabah, MCA and MIC. It’s contesting in 12 seats while Warisan is trying in all 25 seats, with the possibility of winning four to eight.

But in the event of a fragmented GE15 outcome, what do the supporters of the various coalitions favour?

A survey by 02 Research Malaysia revealed that among Barisan supporters, an overwhelming 80% want Barisan to partner with Perikatan.


An almost equal number was reflected by Perikatan supporters, with 81 % choosing the same coalition.

Among GPS voters, 45% preferred Barisan and Perikatan to form the federal government while 35% picked Barisan and Pakatan and 20% chose Perikatan and Pakatan.

For Pakatan backers, 52% favoured Perikatan and Pakatan while 47% opted for Barisan and Pakatan.

Among supporters of Muda, 55% insisted on a Perikatan and Pakatan government with 33% picking Barisan and Pakatan.

Interestingly, the survey, which was conducted until Oct 10, found that among Malay bumiputras, 68.7% wanted Umno and PAS to work together with 19.8% against and 11.5% neutral.

Among non-bumiputras, the survey revealed that 73.3% wanted Pakatan to work with other opposition parties with 14.5% against and 12.2% neutral.

But among politicians, it’s no secret that signals have been sent, and even top DAP leaders including secretary-general Anthony Loke, have not ruled out working with Umno.

The DAP bargaining power is that it can deliver a sizable number of seats, mostly from the predominantly Chinese areas.

In August, Loke was quoted as saying that “such matters could happen as anything is possible in politics.”

At least two high-level Umno leaders have told the media in closed-door discussions that they are open to working together and revealed the deal on the table – including the red lines.

Well, it won’t be anything new since in 1969, the then opposition Gerakan, which captured the Penang state government from the Alliance, eventually joined Barisan. The Alliance comprised Umno, MCA and MIC.

Thickening the plot, Pakatan chief Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim has had to refute talk of a pact between him and Barisan chairman Datuk Seri Dr Ahmad Zahid Hamidi. Ahmad Zahid was Anwar’s long-time political secretary when the latter was in Umno.

Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad has continuously made that claim, saying he had information of the discussion between Anwar and Zahid.

While the attention of most political analysts has been on the west coast of the peninsula, particularly Pakatan, the battle of the Malay heartland in the east coast is the most crucial determinant.

Pakatan has not been able to break into the Malay areas where PAS is crucial in locking in the votes for Bersatu, the main Perikatan party, making it a serious player. But in the end, the fate of these three coalitions depends on whom Sarawak and Sabah decide to partner.

Rightly and deservingly so too, as Malaysia isn’t just made up of the states in the peninsula.

So, will Malaysians be left with a unity government after the votes have been counted on Nov 19?